I opened my inbox this morning only to be greeted by an e-mail from
alerts@cbc.ca — the CBC website’s breaking news e-mail bulletin.
Quelle surprise—at least to me. Former Tory leadership candidate
Belinda Stronach had crossed the floor to the Liberals (not to mention walked straight into Paul Martin's cabinet as Minister of Human Resources, too!). Remember Human Resources? Come to think of it, there's a history of photogenic blonde women in that post: remember Jane Stewart? (Although for the life of me, everytime I try to remember what
Jane Stewart looks like, the CBC's
Allison Smith keeps popping into my head, instead.)
[Other press coverage:
Globe and Mail,
NY Times,
Toronto Star,
National Post,
La Presse (CP)]
Stronach will also be in charge of carrying out the recommendations of the
Gomery Commission. That's a smart move: get somebody who doesn't have any prior association with the Grits to be the taskmaster over them when Mr. Justice Gomery issues his report this fall. I'm as appalled by anyone else over those revelations about the
sponsorship scandal that are coming out of the Gomery Commission's enquiry, but I don't think it's worth bringing down a government over it at this point in time.
The crucial factor in all of this has to do with tallying up MPs' votes in the House. At one point during Paul Martin's part of the
news conference this morning, the PM said, “Indeed, the fact is that we still do not know —
[laughter from the floor] — wait a minute —
[more laughter] — we still do not know if the budget will pass or not. But I gotta tell ya, I can count.”
Indeed he can. By Stronach's defection, the Liberals have picked up a vote, and this means that they and the NDP have effectively tied the Tories and the Bloc. Most likely, if there is a tie, the Speaker of the House, who is a Liberal MP, will be the tie-breaker vote. It should be very interesting.
Stronach, of course, has made no secret that she's had disagreements with other members of the Conservative party, most notably with Tory leader Steven Harper, over issues ranging from same-sex marriage (she's for it, he isn't); and over his attempts to bring down the current government by voting against the budget (she doesn't think that's the right thing to do at this time, although she frames the issue by saying that what she really objects to is the Tories getting into bed with the Bloc Québécois to defeat the Liberals).
I would say that in the area of social issues she is what we'd call a “Red Tory”—but I think that term died out about the time that Joe Clark last sat as an MP. Terry Weber, writing in the Globe, says that
Stronach has always been a liberal Conservative.
Now, the odd little angle in all of this is that Belinda Stronach has been “seeing,” in the romantic sense, deputy Conservative leader Peter MacKay. Oh, wouldn't you like to have been a fly on
that wall when Belinda told Peter that she was jumping ship and crossing the floor to sit with the Liberals. In cabinet, no less!!!
Some romantic relationships can survive differing political views—see Mary Matalin and James Carville—but their political differences were known to each other from the start. Here we have a slightly different situation: one member of a couple bolts the party that the other one is deputy leader of to join the opposing, governing party. The dynamics there look pretty stressful, wouldn't you say? Well, my best to both of them as they navigate those treacherous waters!
• Update: A CP article in the Globe ruminating on what one Tory insider called "dipping your pen in the company ink" says that McKay was actually one of the last to know of her defection; she called him early Tuesday morning to tell him the news. Her former party leader, Stephen Harper, didn't get a call from Stronach until right before her news conference with the PM.
Meanwhile, I'm glad that the Liberals look like they can avoid losing a confidence vote come Thursday. If the voters want to "throw the rascals out," let's wait until later on this year,
après l'enquête Gomery. Minority governments at least should have the chance to govern for a while.
Oh, wait... there was
Joe Clark in
1979. He had no chance!